Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan W vs Colombia W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Yodoko Sakura Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Miyazawa H.
Penalty Missed
35' Event
Torres K.
44'
Sub
Tanaka M. In: Matsukubo M.
Out: Tanaka M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Japan W
40%
Draws
29%
Colombia W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Japan W have won more games recently than Colombia W.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Japan W Clean Sheet 20%
Colombia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan W Colombia W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 3.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 Friendly International Women
Japan W vs Colombia W
6:1
Apr 6, 2025 Friendly International Women
Japan W vs Colombia W
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 SheBelieves Cup Women
Colombia W vs Japan W
1:4
Jul 19, 2024 Friendly International Women
Colombia W vs Japan W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Colombia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan W 32 / 100
Colombia W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan W Colombia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan W scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Colombia W conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Japan W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan W VS Colombia W
3.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%