Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan W vs New Zealand W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Estadio de La Condomina, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Clegg E.
Assist: Green A.
39'
Green A.
46'
Sub
Nagano F. In: Tanikawa M.
Out: Nagano F.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between Japan W and New Zealand W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Japan W
6%
Draws
90%
New Zealand W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Japan W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans New Zealand W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Japan W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Japan W Clean Sheet 11%
New Zealand W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan W New Zealand W
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 20 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 3.88 3.25
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2024 Friendly International Women
Japan W vs New Zealand W
4:1
May 31, 2024 Friendly International Women
Japan W vs New Zealand W
2:0
Oct 9, 2022 Friendly International Women
Japan W vs New Zealand W
2:0
Jun 10, 2018 Friendly International Women
New Zealand W vs Japan W
1:3
May 24, 2015 Friendly International Women
Japan W vs New Zealand W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamano M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fujino A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

New Zealand W Compare

Top Goalscorer Clegg E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan W 10 / 100
New Zealand W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan W New Zealand W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan W scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

New Zealand W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Japan W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan W VS New Zealand W
3.88 Goals Scored 3.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan W

(Home)
09 Jun
Japan W
0 : 1
South Africa W
06 Jun
Japan W
5 : 0
South Africa W
18 Apr
USA W
3 : 0
Japan W
15 Apr
USA W
0 : 1
Japan W
11 Apr
USA W
2 : 1
Japan W
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New Zealand W

(Away)
09 Jun
New Zealand W
0 : 0
Morocco W
05 Jun
New Zealand W
1 : 2
Haiti W
15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0
Papua New Guinea W
11 Apr
New Zealand W
5 : 0
Fiji W
05 Mar
American Samoa W
0 : 3
New Zealand W
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