Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan W vs South Africa W

World World

Friendly International Women Yanmar Stadium Nagai, Osaka
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Seike K.
5'
19' Event
Seike K.
Assist: Nagano F.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women game between Japan W and South Africa W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Japan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Japan W
15%
Draws
27%
South Africa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • South Africa W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Japan W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Japan W Clean Sheet 68%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan W South Africa W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 19
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.9 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International Women
Japan W vs South Africa W
0:1
Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International Women
Japan W vs South Africa W
5:0
Nov 10, 2019 Friendly International Women
Japan W vs South Africa W
2:0
Jul 31, 2012 Olympic Games Women
Japan W vs South Africa W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Seike K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fujino A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

South Africa W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan W 95 / 100
South Africa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan W South Africa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan W scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Japan W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Defensive concern: South Africa W conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Japan W VS South Africa W
3 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan W

(Home)
29 Sept
Japan W
2 : 0
South Korea W
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Philippines W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 8
Japan W
14 Sept
Japan W
8 : 0
Thailand W
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South Africa W

(Away)
13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1
Nigeria W
08 Aug
Morocco W
2 : 1
South Africa W
04 Aug
Burkina Faso W
0 : 1
South Africa W
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2
Ivory Coast W
27 Jul
South Africa W
1 : 2
Tanzania W
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