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Stadium Background

Japan W vs Vietnam W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women HBF Park, Perth
Japan W Logo

Japan W

4 - 0
FT
Vietnam W Logo

Vietnam W

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ueki R.
Assist: Hasegawa Y.
46'
Sub
Ueki R. In: Tanaka M.
Out: Ueki R.
46'
Sub
Hasegawa Y. In: Miyazawa H.
Out: Hasegawa Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Japan W
15%
Draws
5%
Vietnam W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Japan W come out ahead of Vietnam W on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Japan W taking it.
  • Japan W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Japan W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Japan W Clean Sheet 68%
Vietnam W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan W Vietnam W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 4 1
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.9 2.1
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.72 0.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Asian Games Women
Vietnam W vs Japan W
0:8
Mar 10, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Japan W vs Vietnam W
4:0
Nov 1, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Japan W vs Vietnam W
2:0
Sep 28, 2023 Asian Games Women
Japan W vs Vietnam W
7:0
Jan 24, 2022 Asian Cup Women
Vietnam W vs Japan W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ueki R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.09
Avg xA / game 1.36

Vietnam W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.47
Avg xA / game 0.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan W 95 / 100
Vietnam W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan W Vietnam W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Japan W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Vietnam W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan W VS Vietnam W
2.88 Goals Scored 0.29
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.57
75% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan W

(Home)
29 Sept
Japan W
2 : 0
South Korea W
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Philippines W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 8
Japan W
14 Sept
Japan W
8 : 0
Thailand W
Page 1 of 6

Vietnam W

(Away)
25 Sept
China W
1 : 0
Vietnam W
21 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 0
Thailand W
17 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 8
Japan W
14 Sept
Chinese Taipei W
2 : 1
Vietnam W
09 Sept
China W
3 : 0
Vietnam W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea W 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
2 Australia W 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Philippines W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Iran W 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China W 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 North Korea W 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Uzbekistan W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Bangladesh W 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan W 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Vietnam W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 India W 3 0 0 3 2:16 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams