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JaPS vs KaPa

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Järvenpään keskuskenttä, Järvenpää
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

JaPS host KaPa in the Ykkosliiga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. KaPa have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while JaPS have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.28. Past meetings favor KaPa slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.31, favoring JaPS. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
JaPS
15%
Draws
0%
KaPa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JaPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • JaPS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans JaPS's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
JaPS Clean Sheet 18%
KaPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JaPS KaPa
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs JaPS
3:1
May 29, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs JaPS
2:1
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
JaPS vs KaPa
0:1
Sep 5, 2025 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs JaPS
2:3
Aug 2, 2025 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs JaPS
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JaPS 67 / 100
KaPa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JaPS KaPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JaPS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KaPa let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

KaPa's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

JaPS's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

JaPS VS KaPa
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

JaPS

(Home)
21 Aug
PK-35
3 : 0
JaPS
14 Aug
JaPS
1 : 2
Haka
07 Aug
JaPS
1 : 0
Mikkelin
30 Jul
Jippo
1 : 0
JaPS
25 Jul
JaPS
2 : 0
Klubi 04
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KaPa

(Away)
20 Aug
KaPa
1 : 3
Jippo
15 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
KaPa
08 Aug
KaPa
0 : 1
Ekenas IF
29 Jul
Mikkelin
2 : 1
KaPa
25 Jul
Haka
3 : 1
KaPa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 19 13 3 3 33:20 42
2 PK-35 20 12 5 3 34:14 41
3 Haka 20 12 4 4 40:20 40
4 Jippo 20 9 7 4 27:17 34
5 JaPS 20 9 1 10 18:29 28
6 Ekenas IF 19 8 2 9 26:30 26
7 Mikkelin 19 6 3 10 19:26 21
8 KaPa 20 4 4 12 21:35 16
9 Klubi 04 19 2 7 10 15:24 13
10 SJK Akatemia 20 2 6 12 9:27 12
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)