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Jaragua-SC vs Caravaggio Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC Logo

Jaragua-SC

0 - 8
FT
Caravaggio Logo

Caravaggio

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Joao Castro
25' Event
Santana J.
Own Goal
33' Event
Evaristo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Caravaggio in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caravaggio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jaragua-SC
20%
Draws
80%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Caravaggio have won more games recently than Jaragua-SC.
  • Model gives Caravaggio a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 23%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaragua-SC Caravaggio
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 3 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.54 1.84
Goals Conceded 3.18 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Jaragua-SC
9:0
May 17, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Caravaggio
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaragua-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Castro
3 Goals
Assists Leader Evaristo
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
Caravaggio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaragua-SC Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 8.50 goals when they meet.

Jaragua-SC found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Caravaggio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaragua-SC VS Caravaggio
0.25 Goals Scored 2.75
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaragua-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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Caravaggio

(Away)
25 Jul
Caravaggio
3 : 1
Gremio Juventus
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0
Caravaggio
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)