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Stadium Background

Jaragua-SC vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Lucas Rosa
66' Event
Rafinhha
76' Event
Pires L.

AI Match Summary

Fluminense-SC in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fluminense-SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jaragua-SC
15%
Draws
85%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fluminense-SC have won more games recently than Jaragua-SC.
  • Win probability leans Fluminense-SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Fluminense-SC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 23%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaragua-SC Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 3 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.54 1.03
Goals Conceded 3.18 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Jaragua-SC
1:0
May 3, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Fluminense-SC
1:2
Oct 5, 2024 Catarinense 3
Jaragua-SC vs Fluminense-SC
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Catarinense 3
Fluminense-SC vs Jaragua-SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaragua-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Rosa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fluminense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafinhha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pires L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
Fluminense-SC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaragua-SC Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense-SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fluminense-SC conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Jaragua-SC found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Away concern: Fluminense-SC has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaragua-SC VS Fluminense-SC
0.25 Goals Scored 1
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaragua-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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Fluminense-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)