Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaraiz vs CD Coria

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2025
Jaraiz Logo

Jaraiz

Wed, Sep 10, 2025
2 - 3
06:30 PM
CD Coria Logo

CD Coria

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Elena D.
Own Goal
17' Event
Castro F.
68' Event
Ramos I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with CD Coria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jaraiz
20%
Draws
40%
CD Coria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Jaraiz haven't matched CD Coria's recent run of results.
  • Jaraiz are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • CD Coria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Coria, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CD Coria have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 15%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaraiz CD Coria
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion
Jaraiz vs CD Coria
2:3
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Coria vs Jaraiz
2:1
Oct 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Coria
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaraiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

CD Coria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaraiz 41 / 100
CD Coria 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaraiz CD Coria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaraiz scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

CD Coria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Jaraiz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaraiz VS CD Coria
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaraiz

(Home)
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3
Moralo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2
Pueblonuevo
24 May
CD Badajoz
2 : 0
Jaraiz
17 May
Jaraiz
1 : 0
CD Badajoz
10 May
Villanovense
0 : 1
Jaraiz
Page 1 of 6

CD Coria

(Away)
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1
CD Coria
14 Aug
CD Coria
2 : 2
CD Extremadura
11 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
0 : 2
CD Coria
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
Laguna Tenerife 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0