Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaraiz vs CD Coria

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Wed, Sep 10, 2025
2 - 3
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Elena D.
Own Goal
17' Event
Castro F.
68' Event
Ramos I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with CD Coria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Jaraiz
28%
Draws
50%
CD Coria
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CD Coria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Jaraiz haven't matched CD Coria's recent run of results.
  • CD Coria are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • CD Coria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Coria, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CD Coria have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 16%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaraiz CD Coria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion
Jaraiz vs CD Coria
2:3
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Coria vs Jaraiz
2:1
Oct 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CD Coria
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaraiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Coria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaraiz 23 / 100
CD Coria 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaraiz CD Coria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaraiz scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

CD Coria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Jaraiz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaraiz VS CD Coria
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaraiz

(Home)
24 May
CD Badajoz
2 : 0
Jaraiz
17 May
Jaraiz
1 : 0
CD Badajoz
10 May
Villanovense
0 : 1
Jaraiz
03 May
Jaraiz
2 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
26 Apr
AD Llerenense
1 : 1
Jaraiz
Page 1 of 6

CD Coria

(Away)
29 Jul
Valladolid
4 : 1
CD Coria
25 Jul
CD Coria
3 : 1
Cordoba B
31 May
Real Oviedo B
0 : 1
CD Coria
24 May
CD Coria
3 : 0
Real Oviedo B
17 May
Deportiva Minera
0 : 1
CD Coria
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida1
Tudelano0
Formentera1
SD Ibiza0
Terrassa4
Atletico Monzon0
SD Ejea2
UE Tona0
Bergantinos4
Marino De Luanco2
Estradense2
Covadonga1
CD Laredo1
Ourense CF5
Zamora4
Amorebieta1
Varea2
Moralo0
San Sebastian Reyes1
Alfaro0
Laguna Tenerife1
Toledo2
Jaraiz2
CD Coria3
Deportiva Minera3
Melilla0
Molinense2
Xerez CD0
Ceuta 6 de Junio2
Orihuela5
Huetor Tajar2
Bollullos1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida6
Formentera1
Terrassa0
SD Ejea1
Bergantinos2
Estradense1
Ourense CF2
Zamora1
Varea1
San Sebastian Reyes2
Toledo1
CD Coria0
Deportiva Minera3
Molinense0
Orihuela3
Huetor Tajar0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida2
SD Ejea1
Bergantinos0
Ourense CF2
San Sebastian Reyes0
Toledo1
Deportiva Minera0
Orihuela1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida3
Ourense CF4
Toledo2
Orihuela4
Final
Ourense CF3
Orihuela0