Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaraiz vs CF Trujillo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ramos Moreno A.
59' Event
Gomez J.
63' Event
Manzano J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between Jaraiz and CF Trujillo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaraiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Jaraiz
15%
Draws
36%
CF Trujillo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaraiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaraiz come out ahead of CF Trujillo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jaraiz's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 68%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaraiz CF Trujillo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.35 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CF Trujillo
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Jaraiz
1:3
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Jaraiz vs CF Trujillo
0:1
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs CF Trujillo
1:0
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Jaraiz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaraiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos Moreno A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

CF Trujillo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaraiz 59 / 100
CF Trujillo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaraiz CF Trujillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaraiz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaraiz scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: CF Trujillo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: CF Trujillo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaraiz VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaraiz

(Home)
27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1
SP Villafranca
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Jaraiz
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3
Moralo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2
Pueblonuevo
24 May
CD Badajoz
2 : 0
Jaraiz
Page 1 of 7

CF Trujillo

(Away)
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4
CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)