Sport Picks
Jaraiz vs Pueblonuevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 
Match Events
24'
24'
Rodriguez G. G.
38'
38'
Perez D.
40'
40'
Lozano M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between Jaraiz and Pueblonuevo finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jaraiz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Pueblonuevo haven't matched Jaraiz's recent run of results.
- Model gives Jaraiz a 37% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jaraiz Clean Sheet 20%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaraiz | Pueblonuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs Pueblonuevo
2:2
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Jaraiz
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs Pueblonuevo
2:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs Jaraiz
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jaraiz vs Pueblonuevo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jaraiz Compare
Top Goalscorer Perez D.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Pueblonuevo Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez G. G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lozano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jaraiz 40 / 100
Pueblonuevo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jaraiz Pueblonuevo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jaraiz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jaraiz found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Pueblonuevo let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Jaraiz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jaraiz VS Pueblonuevo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Jaraiz
(Home) 04 Oct
Montijo
2 : 0 Jaraiz
27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1 SP Villafranca
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Jaraiz
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3 Moralo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1 SP Villafranca
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3 Moralo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
17 May
Jaraiz
1 : 0 CD Badajoz
03 May
Jaraiz
2 : 1 Cabeza del Buey
Page 1 of 3
Pueblonuevo
(Away) 03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1 Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1 Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1 Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1 Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2 Pueblonuevo
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 3 | AD Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla de la Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Gevora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 10 | SP Villafranca | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cabeza del Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Jaraiz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 15 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 17 | UP Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)
