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Jaro vs AC Oulu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Project Liv Arena, Pietarsaari
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Arsalo M.
37'
Vidjeskog A.
63'
Triana C.

AI Match Summary

AC Oulu in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Oulu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Jaro
35%
Draws
30%
AC Oulu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AC Oulu lately — more wins on the board than Jaro.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AC Oulu have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jaro Clean Sheet 20%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaro AC Oulu
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs AC Oulu
0:1
May 31, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Jaro
2:1
Apr 15, 2026 Suomen Cup
AC Oulu vs Jaro
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Jaro vs AC Oulu
2:3
Feb 7, 2026 Liiga Cup
Jaro vs AC Oulu
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Jokelainen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaro 31 / 100
AC Oulu 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaro AC Oulu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Jaro remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Jaro found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

AC Oulu let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaro VS AC Oulu
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaro

(Home)
21 Oct
PK-35
1 : 1
Jaro
17 Oct
Jaro
1 : 1
Mariehamn
10 Oct
TPS
0 : 1
Jaro
18 Sept
Lahti
1 : 1
Jaro
12 Sept
Jaro
1 : 1
SJK
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AC Oulu

(Away)
17 Oct
Inter Turku
1 : 2
AC Oulu
12 Oct
AC Oulu
3 : 4
HJK
08 Oct
KuPS
0 : 1
AC Oulu
18 Sept
AC Oulu
0 : 1
Inter Turku
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)