Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaro vs Ilves

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Project Liv Arena, Pietarsaari
Jaro Logo

Jaro

2 - 1
FT
Ilves Logo

Ilves

Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Sjogrell H.
Assist: Ness F. O.
38' Event
Vikstrom R.
Assist: Sjogrell H.
55'
Sub
Riski Ro. In: Hytonen T.
Out: Riski Ro.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jaro in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Jaro
15%
Draws
73%
Ilves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Jaro haven't matched Ilves's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Ilves taking it.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ilves have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jaro Clean Sheet 16%
Ilves Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaro Ilves
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1 1.72
Goals Conceded 2 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs Jaro
2:0
Jul 4, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs Ilves
2:1
Jun 17, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs Jaro
5:0
Jan 31, 2026 Liiga Cup
Ilves vs Jaro
4:2
Jul 20, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs Ilves
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjogrell H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vikstrom R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ilves Compare

Top Goalscorer Raap Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaro 11 / 100
Ilves 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaro Ilves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Ilves conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Ilves has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Jaro scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jaro VS Ilves
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaro

(Home)
12 Sept
Jaro
1 : 1
SJK
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
16 Aug
HJK
3 : 0
Jaro
Page 1 of 6

Ilves

(Away)
12 Sept
Ilves
3 : 1
Lahti
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
17 Aug
Gnistan
3 : 2
Ilves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)