Sport Picks

Finland

Veikkausliiga Project Liv Arena

Jaro

2 - 1

Ilves

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Sjogrell H.

Assist: Ness F. O.

38'

Vikstrom R.

Assist: Sjogrell H.

55'

Sub

Riski Ro. In: Hytonen T.

Out: Riski Ro.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jaro in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Jaro

Draws

90%

Ilves

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ilves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Jaro haven't matched Ilves's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Ilves taking it.
Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Ilves have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Jaro Clean Sheet 10%

Ilves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jaro	Ilves
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	8	12
Draws	6	6
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1	2.38
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Veikkausliiga

Jaro vs Ilves

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Jun 17, 2026 Veikkausliiga

Ilves vs Jaro

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

5:0

Jan 31, 2026 Liiga Cup

Ilves vs Jaro

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

4:2

Jul 20, 2025 Veikkausliiga

Jaro vs Ilves

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Apr 12, 2025 Veikkausliiga

Ilves vs Jaro

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjogrell H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vikstrom R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Ilves Compare

Top Goalscorer Raap Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaro 10 / 100

Ilves 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jaro Ilves

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILV Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Jaro found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Ilves conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Jaro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jaro VS Ilves

1 Goals Scored 2.38

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	15	8	6	1	27:15	30
2	Inter Turku	15	8	6	1	23:12	30
3	VPS	15	7	6	2	22:11	27
4	AC Oulu	15	8	2	5	20:18	26
5	HJK	15	6	4	5	25:19	22
6	Gnistan	15	6	4	5	23:20	22
7	TPS	15	6	4	5	19:16	22
8	Lahti	15	5	4	6	18:15	19
9	Ilves	15	4	4	7	25:29	16
10	SJK	15	3	5	7	18:23	14
11	Jaro	15	2	5	8	15:32	11
12	Mariehamn	15	0	4	11	8:33	4