Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaro vs SJK

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Project Liv Arena, Pietarsaari
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Ogungbaro M.
32' Event
Sjogrell H.
(Penalty)
45'
Vits S.

AI Match Summary

Jaro in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jaro
39%
Draws
30%
SJK
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SJK lately — more wins on the board than Jaro.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Jaro Clean Sheet 10%
SJK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaro SJK
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs Jaro
1:1
Mar 18, 2026 Club Friendly
SJK vs Jaro
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Liiga Cup
SJK vs Jaro
1:2
Aug 18, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs SJK
0:4
Jun 14, 2025 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs Jaro
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Harden K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

SJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaro 30 / 100
SJK 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaro SJK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SJK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SJK conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Jaro scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Jaro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaro VS SJK
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaro

(Home)
19 Jul
Jaro
0 : 0
Inter Turku
04 Jul
Jaro
2 : 1
Ilves
27 Jun
TPS
3 : 2
Jaro
23 Jun
Jaro
1 : 1
Gnistan
17 Jun
Ilves
5 : 0
Jaro
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SJK

(Away)
18 Jul
SJK
0 : 2
KuPS
10 Jul
VPS
1 : 0
SJK
04 Jul
SJK
3 : 1
TPS
27 Jun
Ilves
2 : 2
SJK
23 Jun
Inter Turku
1 : 1
SJK
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS1696129:1533
2Inter Turku1687123:1231
3VPS1676323:1327
4AC Oulu1682620:2026
5HJK1674527:2025
6Gnistan1674525:2025
7Lahti1664620:1522
8TPS1664620:1922
9Ilves1654728:3019
10SJK1635818:2514
11Jaro1626815:3212
12Mariehamn1604128:354
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)