Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaro vs SJK

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Project Liv Arena, Pietarsaari
Jaro Logo

Jaro

2 - 1
FT
SJK Logo

SJK

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Ogungbaro M.
32' Event
Sjogrell H.
(Penalty)
45'
Vits S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jaro in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Jaro
35%
Draws
49%
SJK
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SJK lately — more wins on the board than Jaro.
  • SJK are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jaro Clean Sheet 16%
SJK Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaro SJK
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1 1.52
Goals Conceded 2 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs SJK
1:1
Jul 24, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Jaro vs SJK
2:1
Apr 24, 2026 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs Jaro
1:1
Mar 18, 2026 Club Friendly
SJK vs Jaro
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Liiga Cup
SJK vs Jaro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Harden K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

SJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaro 28 / 100
SJK 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaro SJK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SJK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SJK conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Jaro scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Jaro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaro VS SJK
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaro

(Home)
12 Sept
Jaro
1 : 1
SJK
08 Sept
Ilves
2 : 0
Jaro
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
16 Aug
HJK
3 : 0
Jaro
Page 1 of 6

SJK

(Away)
12 Sept
Jaro
1 : 1
SJK
08 Sept
TPS
0 : 0
SJK
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
21 Aug
SJK
1 : 2
Lahti
15 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
SJK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)