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Jarocin vs Cartusia Kartuzy

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Poreba J.
65' Event
Sopocko M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 game between Jarocin and Cartusia Kartuzy finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartusia Kartuzy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Jarocin
17%
Draws
13%
Cartusia Kartuzy
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Jarocin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cartusia Kartuzy come out ahead of Jarocin on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jarocin's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 20%
Cartusia Kartuzy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarocin Cartusia Kartuzy
Matches Played 33 42
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Cartusia Kartuzy
0:2
Aug 20, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Jarocin
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarocin Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Cartusia Kartuzy Compare

Top Goalscorer Poreba J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sopocko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarocin 67 / 100
Cartusia Kartuzy 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarocin Cartusia Kartuzy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarocin's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Cartusia Kartuzy let in goals in 71% of their last 42 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jarocin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cartusia Kartuzy
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarocin

(Home)
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8
Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0
Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 7

Cartusia Kartuzy

(Away)
30 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 2
Zawisza
22 May
Swinoujscie
0 : 0
Cartusia Kartuzy
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Luzino
3 : 0
Cartusia Kartuzy
09 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ol. Grudziadz34237473:1876
2Pogon Szczecin II34209569:2569
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol342041075:5464
4Zawisza341951069:4562
5Gedania Gdansk341941163:5961
6Starogard Gdanski34178944:3559
7Swit Szczecin341671161:4155
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341661251:4654
9Kleczew341451553:4847
10Unia Swarzedz3411111237:4244
11Cartusia Kartuzy3411101337:4043
12Blekitni Stargard3410121246:4542
13Stolem Gniewino34991633:5236
14Vineta Wolin348111547:6635
15Unia Solec Kujawski34981740:5935
16Jarocin34961941:6933
17B. Gdynia34842243:7028
18Unia Janikowo34242817:8510
19Przodkowo00000:00
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)