Sport Picks
Jaroslaw vs Czarni Polaniec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
AI Match Summary
Jaroslaw host Czarni Polaniec in the III Liga - Group IV. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Jaroslaw have averaged 2.19 scored and 1.78 conceded recently, against Czarni Polaniec's 1.63 scored and 1.4 conceded. Past meetings favor Jaroslaw slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 15, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.50, favoring Jaroslaw. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Czarni Polaniec carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Czarni Polaniec a 56% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaroslaw | Czarni Polaniec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jaroslaw scored in 89% of their last 27 games.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Czarni Polaniec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Jaroslaw stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Jaroslaw
(Home)Czarni Polaniec
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 22:6 | 34 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 29 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 30:27 | 24 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 6 | Hetman Zamosc | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26:22 | 23 |
| 7 | Wislanie Skawina | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | 21 |
| 8 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 9 | Wisla II | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaroslaw | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 29:26 | 17 |
| 11 | Star Starachowice | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 12 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 13 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14:17 | 16 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 28:33 | 14 |
| 15 | Busko-Zdroj | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20:32 | 14 |
| 16 | Biala Podlaska | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | 13 |
| 17 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 11 |
| 18 | Moravia Morawica | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15:26 | 9 |
