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Jaroslaw vs MZKS Pogon Lezajsk

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Czado P.
43' Event
Zajac M.
87' Event
Wisniowski M.

AI Match Summary

Jaroslaw host MZKS Pogon Lezajsk in the Club Friendly 2024. Jaroslaw are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Jaroslaw at 1.38 goals for, 1.38 against; MZKS Pogon Lezajsk at 1.6 for, 3.6 against. Head-to-head, Jaroslaw have won 1 to MZKS Pogon Lezajsk's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2024, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.49 - 1.49) back Jaroslaw to edge this. Jaroslaw in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jaroslaw
6%
Draws
4%
MZKS Pogon Lezajsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jaroslaw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jaroslaw has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to MZKS Pogon Lezajsk.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Jaroslaw.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 16%
MZKS Pogon Lezajsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaroslaw MZKS Pogon Lezajsk
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 18 0
Draws 5 1
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.38 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Jaroslaw vs MZKS Pogon Lezajsk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaroslaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Zajac M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wisniowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

MZKS Pogon Lezajsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Czado P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaroslaw 84 / 100
MZKS Pogon Lezajsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaroslaw MZKS Pogon Lezajsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaroslaw scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

MZKS Pogon Lezajsk let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jaroslaw went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

MZKS Pogon Lezajsk lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaroslaw VS MZKS Pogon Lezajsk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.6
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.6
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 80%