Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaroslaw vs Piast Tuczempy

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group VIII
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaroslaw in this III Liga - Group VIII matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaroslaw.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jaroslaw
39%
Draws
30%
Piast Tuczempy
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaroslaw have won more games recently than Piast Tuczempy.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Jaroslaw Clean Sheet 10%
Piast Tuczempy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaroslaw Piast Tuczempy
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.25 3
Goals Conceded 1 0
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2016 III Liga - Group VIII
Jaroslaw vs Piast Tuczempy
2:0
Oct 24, 2015 III Liga - Group VIII
Piast Tuczempy vs Jaroslaw
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaroslaw 30 / 100
Piast Tuczempy 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaroslaw Piast Tuczempy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaroslaw scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Jaroslaw stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Piast Tuczempy has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Jaroslaw VS Piast Tuczempy
1.25 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Motor Lublin34245580:2377
2S. Rzeszow34235680:3374
3R. Rzeszow34198750:2565
4Orleta Radzyn34188859:4262
5KS Karpaty Krosno341710763:3361
6Avia Swidnik341771069:4158
7Jaroslaw34169951:2957
8Polonia Przemysl341661240:4054
9Lublinianka341391237:3548
10Chelmianka Chelm341381357:5247
11Piast Tuczempy341281434:4144
12Sokol Sieniawa341281454:5744
13Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska341191437:4242
14Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski341071740:5737
15Lewart Lubartow341071742:5437
16Izolator Boguchwala34852142:7429
17Hetman Zamosc34322916:10811
18Orzel Przeworsk34232923:889