Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jarun vs Hrvace

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion NK Jarun, Zagreb
Jarun Logo

Jarun

1 - 2
FT
Hrvace Logo

Hrvace

Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Skaric P.
36' Event
Vuckovic J.
38' Event
Grdenic T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL 2025/2026 game between Jarun and Hrvace finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hrvace.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Jarun
35%
Draws
24%
Hrvace
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jarun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Hrvace carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jarun are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Hrvace here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Jarun Clean Sheet 68%
Hrvace Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Hrvace
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.45 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Prva NL
Jarun vs Hrvace
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Prva NL
Jarun vs Hrvace
1:0
Sep 9, 2025 Prva NL
Hrvace vs Jarun
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarun Compare

Top Goalscorer Grdenic T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hrvace Compare

Top Goalscorer Skaric P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vuckovic J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 86 / 100
Hrvace 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Hrvace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Jarun stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Jarun scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Hrvace conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Hrvace
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
0 : 1
Jarun
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
Page 1 of 6

Hrvace

(Away)
19 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 2
Hrvace
12 Sept
Hrvace
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
02 Sept
Opatija
1 : 0
Hrvace
29 Aug
Hrvace
1 : 4
Jadran Luka Ploce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 8 6 49:29 65
2 Cibalia 33 17 7 9 51:33 58
3 Sesvete 33 16 9 8 42:28 57
4 Dugopolje 33 16 6 11 40:38 54
5 Dubrava Zagreb 33 13 8 12 39:46 47
6 Bijelo Brdo 33 11 9 13 30:30 42
7 Karlovac 33 13 3 17 40:45 42
8 Opatija 33 10 10 13 31:38 40
9 Orijent 33 9 11 13 40:41 38
10 Hrvace 33 10 6 17 36:48 36
11 Croatia Zmijavci 33 9 8 16 32:46 35
12 Jarun 33 8 9 16 34:42 33
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)