Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jarun vs Orijent

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion NK Jarun, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Jug P.
14' Event
Andrijasevic F.
22' Event
Ilicic M.

AI Match Summary

Orijent in this Prva NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orijent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jarun
39%
Draws
30%
Orijent
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jarun lately — more wins on the board than Orijent.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Orijent here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Jarun Clean Sheet 23%
Orijent Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Orijent
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Prva NL
Jarun vs Orijent
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Prva NL
Jarun vs Orijent
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Prva NL
Orijent vs Jarun
1:0
May 31, 2025 Prva NL
Jarun vs Orijent
1:4
Mar 8, 2025 Prva NL
Jarun vs Orijent
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarun Compare

Top Goalscorer Luetic K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Orijent Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrijasevic F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilicic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 33 / 100
Orijent 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Orijent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarun's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Orijent has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Orijent registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Orijent
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
18 Jul
Mladost Zdralovi
3 : 1
Jarun
30 May
Jarun
1 : 1
Cibalia
22 May
Karlovac
2 : 1
Jarun
17 May
Jarun
0 : 2
Dubrava Zagreb
10 May
Croatia Zmijavci
1 : 2
Jarun
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Orijent

(Away)
21 Jul
Istra 1961
5 : 2
Orijent
30 May
Orijent
3 : 0
Dugopolje
23 May
Cibalia
3 : 2
Orijent
16 May
Orijent
1 : 0
Karlovac
09 May
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 0
Orijent
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rudes33198649:2965
2Cibalia33177951:3358
3Sesvete33169842:2857
4Dugopolje331661140:3854
5Dubrava Zagreb331381239:4647
6Bijelo Brdo331191330:3042
7Karlovac331331740:4542
8Opatija3310101331:3840
9Orijent339111340:4138
10Hrvace331061736:4836
11Croatia Zmijavci33981632:4635
12Jarun33891634:4233
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)