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Jarun vs Zagora

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL Stadion NK Jarun, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Mrcela M.
Own Goal
36' Event
Blazanovic A.
58' Event
Regetas D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Druga NL matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Jarun
35%
Draws
46%
Zagora
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zagora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zagora lately — more wins on the board than Jarun.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Druga NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jarun Clean Sheet 12%
Zagora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Zagora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Druga NL
Jarun vs Zagora
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarun Compare

Top Goalscorer Blazanovic A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Regetas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Zagora Compare

Top Goalscorer Maretic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Budic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 30 / 100
Zagora 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Zagora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Jarun found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Zagora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Jarun has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Zagora
0.63 Goals Scored 2.4
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.2
63% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 60%
0% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
25 Jul
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 1
Jarun
18 Jul
Mladost Zdralovi
3 : 1
Jarun
30 May
Jarun
1 : 1
Cibalia
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Zagora

(Away)
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
26 Aug
Zagora
4 : 2
Bratstvo Jurovec
22 Aug
Zagora
3 : 5
NK Koprivnica
01 Aug
Zagora
1 : 0
HNK Zadar
02 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Zagora
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trnje 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Uljanik Pula 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Lucko 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
4 NK Koprivnica 2 1 1 0 7:5 4
5 Dugo Selo 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Uskok Klis 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
7 Radnik Krizevci 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 NK Inker Zapresic 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Bjelovar 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
10 Grobnican 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
11 Jarun 2 0 2 0 5:5 2
12 Slavonija Pozega 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
13 Zagora 2 0 1 1 7:9 1
14 Solin 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
15 Dragovoljac 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
16 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)