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Jarun vs Zagora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL Stadion NK Jarun, Zagreb
Jarun Logo

Jarun

4 - 4
FT
Zagora Logo

Zagora

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Mrcela M.
Own Goal
36' Event
Blazanovic A.
58' Event
Regetas D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Druga NL matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Jarun
35%
Draws
31%
Zagora
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zagora lately — more wins on the board than Jarun.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Druga NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jarun Clean Sheet 10%
Zagora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jarun Zagora
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Druga NL
Jarun vs Zagora
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jarun Compare

Top Goalscorer Blazanovic A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Regetas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Zagora Compare

Top Goalscorer Maretic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Budic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 29 / 100
Zagora 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jarun Zagora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zagora let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jarun stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Jarun scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jarun VS Zagora
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jarun

(Home)
17 Oct
Zapresic
2 : 2
Jarun
10 Oct
Jarun
1 : 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
26 Sept
Jarun
3 : 0
Grobnican
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
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Zagora

(Away)
17 Oct
Trnje
2 : 2
Zagora
10 Oct
Zagora
2 : 2
Slavonija Pozega
03 Oct
Zagora
0 : 4
Dugo Selo
26 Sept
Lucko
1 : 3
Zagora
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0
Uljanik Pula
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uskok Klis 8 6 0 2 19:7 18
2 Bjelovar 9 5 2 2 21:12 17
3 Dugo Selo 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
4 Jarun 8 3 5 0 17:12 14
5 Trnje 9 4 2 3 15:11 14
6 Uljanik Pula 9 4 2 3 17:18 14
7 Slavonija Pozega 9 3 3 3 16:15 12
8 Solin 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
9 Zapresic 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
10 Zagora 9 2 5 2 21:20 11
11 Radnik Krizevci 9 3 2 4 12:15 11
12 Grobnican 9 3 2 4 12:18 11
13 Dragovoljac 9 3 1 5 9:16 10
14 Lucko 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
15 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
16 NK Koprivnica 9 1 2 6 10:23 5
Promotion - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)