Sport Picks

Croatia

Prva NL 2024/2025 Stadion ŠRC Zaprešić

Zrinski Osjecko

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jarun play Zrinski Osjecko in the Prva NL 2024/2025. Jarun are favorites here. Recently, Jarun averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Zrinski Osjecko averaged 0.58 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Jarun won 3, Zrinski Osjecko won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Jarun and 1.25 for Zrinski Osjecko. This points to a Jarun double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%

Jarun

16%

Draws

16%

Zrinski Osjecko

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Jarun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence

Jarun picked up more points recently compared to Zrinski Osjecko.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Jarun Clean Sheet 19%

Zrinski Osjecko Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jarun	Zrinski Osjecko
Matches Played	34	31
Wins	11	1
Draws	8	7
Losses	15	23
Goals Scored	1.35	0.58
Goals Conceded	1.35	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Prva NL

Jarun vs Zrinski Osjecko

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 4 - 4

3:0

Oct 27, 2024 Prva NL

Jarun vs Zrinski Osjecko

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Aug 18, 2024 Prva NL

Zrinski Osjecko vs Jarun

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

May 12, 2024 Prva NL

Jarun vs Zrinski Osjecko

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Oct 30, 2023 Prva NL

Jarun vs Zrinski Osjecko

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jarun 65 / 100

Zrinski Osjecko 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jarun Zrinski Osjecko

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarun Win (1)

Secondary Pick Jarun & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.6%

1.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jarun attacking → ← attacking Zrinski Osjecko

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarun scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Zrinski Osjecko let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Jarun went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zrinski Osjecko lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 10

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vukovar 1991	33	21	9	3	55:14	72
2	Opatija	33	19	11	3	48:20	68
3	Orijent	33	14	14	5	46:31	56
4	Sesvete	33	14	7	12	36:32	49
5	Cibalia	33	12	10	11	47:39	46
6	Dubrava Zagreb	33	14	4	15	35:36	46
7	Bijelo Brdo	33	13	7	13	40:42	46
8	Croatia Zmijavci	33	10	10	13	33:43	40
9	Rudes	33	10	9	14	31:33	39
10	Jarun	33	9	10	14	33:39	37
11	Dugopolje	33	6	13	14	33:52	31
12	Zrinski Osjecko	33	1	6	26	15:71	6