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Stadium Background

Jataiense vs Vila Nova FC

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2025 Estádio Nelson Antônio da Silva, Jataí
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Arthur Gazze
40'
Willian Formiga
43'
Sub
Keven In: Erick Luis
Out: Keven

AI Match Summary

Vila Nova FC in this Goiano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vila Nova FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jataiense
20%
Draws
47%
Vila Nova FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vila Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC have won more games recently than Jataiense.
  • Model gives Vila Nova FC a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vila Nova FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Jataiense Clean Sheet 21%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jataiense Vila Nova FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Goiano
Vila Nova FC vs Jataiense
4:1
Mar 6, 2025 Goiano
Vila Nova FC vs Jataiense
0:0
Mar 3, 2025 Goiano
Jataiense vs Vila Nova FC
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Goiano
Jataiense vs Vila Nova FC
1:2
Feb 7, 2024 Goiano
Vila Nova FC vs Jataiense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jataiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaio Wilker
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Vila Nova FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Henrique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bernardo Schappo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jataiense 29 / 100
Vila Nova FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jataiense Vila Nova FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jataiense found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Vila Nova FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jataiense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vila Nova FC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jataiense

(Home)
08 Mar
Jataiense
1 : 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense
04 Mar
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 1
Jataiense
28 Feb
Jataiense
1 : 0
CRAC
21 Feb
CRAC
1 : 2
Jataiense
15 Feb
Jataiense
0 : 1
Anapolina
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Vila Nova FC

(Away)
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0
America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Goias
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0
Vila Nova FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anapolis 11 7 2 2 15:7 23
2 Vila Nova FC 11 6 4 1 10:5 22
3 Atletico GO 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
4 Goias 11 5 3 3 11:7 18
5 CRAC 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Inhumas 11 4 2 5 9:14 14
7 Jataiense 11 4 1 6 13:13 13
8 ABECAT Ouvidorense 11 4 1 6 9:12 13
9 Goiatuba EC 11 3 4 4 7:10 13
10 Aparecidense 11 3 3 5 8:8 12
11 Goianesia 11 2 4 5 11:14 10
12 Goiania 11 2 1 8 8:20 7
Promotion - Goiano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Goiano 2 (Main)