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Jataiense vs Vila Nova FC

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2025 Estádio Nelson Antônio da Silva, Jataí
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Igor Inocencio
46'
Sub
Labandeira F. In: Gabriel Silva
Out: Labandeira F.
51' Event
Pierino A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Vila Nova FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jataiense
20%
Draws
47%
Vila Nova FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vila Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Nova FC come out ahead of Jataiense on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Vila Nova FC taking it.
  • Vila Nova FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vila Nova FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Vila Nova FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Jataiense Clean Sheet 21%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jataiense Vila Nova FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Goiano
Vila Nova FC vs Jataiense
4:1
Mar 6, 2025 Goiano
Vila Nova FC vs Jataiense
0:0
Mar 3, 2025 Goiano
Jataiense vs Vila Nova FC
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Goiano
Jataiense vs Vila Nova FC
1:2
Feb 7, 2024 Goiano
Vila Nova FC vs Jataiense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jataiense 29 / 100
Vila Nova FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jataiense Vila Nova FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Nova FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jataiense scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Vila Nova FC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Jataiense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vila Nova FC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jataiense

(Home)
08 Mar
Jataiense
1 : 1
ABECAT Ouvidorense
04 Mar
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 1
Jataiense
28 Feb
Jataiense
1 : 0
CRAC
21 Feb
CRAC
1 : 2
Jataiense
15 Feb
Jataiense
0 : 1
Anapolina
Page 1 of 6

Vila Nova FC

(Away)
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0
America MG
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Goias
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0
Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Anapolis 4
ABECAT Ouvidorense 3
Atletico GO 3
Inhumas 1
Vila Nova FC 1
Jataiense 0
Goias 2
CRAC 1
Semi-finals
Anapolis 5
Atletico GO 4
Vila Nova FC 1
Goias 0
Final
Anapolis 2
Vila Nova FC 3