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Jauniba vs Spartaks Jurmala

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2009 game between Jauniba and Spartaks Jurmala finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jauniba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Jauniba
6%
Draws
90%
Spartaks Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartaks Jurmala come out ahead of Jauniba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Spartaks Jurmala a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jauniba have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Jauniba Clean Sheet 20%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jauniba Spartaks Jurmala
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2009 Nakotnes liga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Jauniba
2:9
Jul 25, 2009 Nakotnes liga
Jauniba vs Spartaks Jurmala
5:1
Sep 13, 2008 Nakotnes liga
Jauniba vs Spartaks Jurmala
4:0
Jun 7, 2008 Nakotnes liga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Jauniba
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jauniba 10 / 100
Spartaks Jurmala 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jauniba Spartaks Jurmala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Spartaks Jurmala let in goals in 74% of their last 38 matches.

Jauniba's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartaks Jurmala
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jelgava26195257:2162
2Jauniba26186259:2460
3Liepajas Metalurgs 226182665:3056
4FC Jurmala26155646:1850
5Kauguri-PBLC26146666:4048
6FK Metta26136747:1945
7FK Auda Riga26107945:3337
8Skonto 2261041236:3834
9FC Daugava Daugavpils26971038:4334
10Tukums 200026831542:5527
11Valmiera26651526:5123
12Spartaks Jurmala26422026:7014
13Preilu BJSS26251926:8711
14Jekabpils SC26251925:7511