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Javor vs Spartak Subotica

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Kraj Moravice
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Javor play Spartak Subotica in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Javor averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Spartak Subotica averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Javor won 2, Spartak Subotica won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Javor and 1.13 for Spartak Subotica. This points to a Javor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Javor
25%
Draws
24%
Spartak Subotica
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Javor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Javor picked up more points recently compared to Spartak Subotica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Javor Clean Sheet 21%
Spartak Subotica Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Javor Spartak Subotica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.93 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Javor vs Spartak Subotica
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Javor
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Javor vs Spartak Subotica
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Javor
1:0
Apr 15, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Javor
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Javor 50 / 100
Spartak Subotica 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Javor Spartak Subotica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Javor or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Javor attacking → ← attacking Spartak Subotica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Javor scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Spartak Subotica let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Javor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Subotica lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 16
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
9IMT Novi Beograd3713111341:5150
10Radnicki Nis371471646:4949
11Mladost Lucani3711131333:5246
12Radnicki 1923379181041:4245
13TSC Backa Topola3711121445:4545
14Javor3710121541:5442
15Spartak Subotica37492437:7221
16Napredak37392530:7618