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Jazeera vs Gaadiidka

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Jazeera and Gaadiidka finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gaadiidka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jazeera
39%
Draws
30%
Gaadiidka
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gaadiidka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Jazeera Clean Sheet 10%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jazeera Gaadiidka
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 2.75 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 National league
Jazeera vs Gaadiidka
1:3
May 6, 2025 National league
Gaadiidka vs Jazeera
2:1
Jan 22, 2025 National league
Jazeera vs Gaadiidka
3:2
Aug 2, 2024 National league
Jazeera vs Gaadiidka
3:3
May 17, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Jazeera
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jazeera 30 / 100
Gaadiidka 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jazeera Gaadiidka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Jazeera's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Jazeera has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gaadiidka let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jazeera VS Gaadiidka
2.75 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jazeera

(Home)
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
10 Jul
Badbaado
4 : 1
Jazeera
02 Jul
Jazeera
4 : 2
Jubba
Page 1 of 6

Gaadiidka

(Away)
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
07 Jul
Heegan
1 : 2
Gaadiidka
29 Jun
Raadsan
0 : 6
Gaadiidka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)