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Jazeera vs Gaadiidka

Somalia Somalia

National league
Jazeera Logo

Jazeera

1 - 3
FT
Gaadiidka Logo

Gaadiidka

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Jazeera and Gaadiidka finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gaadiidka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Jazeera
20%
Draws
61%
Gaadiidka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Gaadiidka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Gaadiidka taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jazeera Clean Sheet 10%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jazeera Gaadiidka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1.6 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 National league
Jazeera vs Gaadiidka
1:3
May 19, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Jazeera
3:0
May 6, 2025 National league
Gaadiidka vs Jazeera
2:1
Jan 22, 2025 National league
Jazeera vs Gaadiidka
3:2
Aug 2, 2024 National league
Jazeera vs Gaadiidka
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jazeera 10 / 100
Gaadiidka 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jazeera Gaadiidka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Jazeera's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gaadiidka has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Jazeera went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jazeera VS Gaadiidka
2.75 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jazeera

(Home)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
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Gaadiidka

(Away)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)