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Jazeera vs Mogadishu City

Somalia Somalia

National league
Jazeera Logo

Jazeera

1 - 3
FT
Mogadishu City Logo

Mogadishu City

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Jazeera and Mogadishu City finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mogadishu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Jazeera
15%
Draws
36%
Mogadishu City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jazeera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mogadishu City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mogadishu City here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Jazeera Clean Sheet 10%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jazeera Mogadishu City
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 National league
Jazeera vs Mogadishu City
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 National league
Mogadishu City vs Jazeera
4:0
Apr 9, 2025 National league
Jazeera vs Mogadishu City
3:6
Dec 22, 2024 National league
Mogadishu City vs Jazeera
3:1
Jul 25, 2024 National league
Mogadishu City vs Jazeera
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jazeera 30 / 100
Mogadishu City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jazeera Mogadishu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Jazeera found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Mogadishu City let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Mogadishu City has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jazeera VS Mogadishu City
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jazeera

(Home)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
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Mogadishu City

(Away)
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)