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JDR Stars vs Venda Prediction & H2H Stats

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Wadi I.
23' Event
Lubesha R.
54' Event
Moseamedi J.

AI Match Summary

Venda in this Nedbank Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
JDR Stars
30%
Draws
12%
Venda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: JDR Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Venda have won more games recently than JDR Stars.
  • Model gives JDR Stars a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Venda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Venda, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
JDR Stars Clean Sheet 20%
Venda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JDR Stars Venda
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs JDR Stars
3:0
Dec 3, 2024 Nedbank Cup
JDR Stars vs Venda
1:4
Nov 23, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
JDR Stars vs Venda
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
JDR Stars vs Venda
0:0
Aug 26, 2023 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs JDR Stars
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JDR Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Wadi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Venda Compare

Top Goalscorer Lubesha R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moseamedi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JDR Stars 49 / 100
Venda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JDR Stars Venda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JDR Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Venda conceded in 71% of 38 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: JDR Stars stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Venda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Venda
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

JDR Stars

(Home)
18 May
Pretoria Callies
0 : 2
JDR Stars
11 May
JDR Stars
0 : 2
Orbit College
04 May
JDR Stars
0 : 3
Durban City
26 Apr
Hungry Lions
0 : 0
JDR Stars
18 Apr
JDR Stars
0 : 0
Kruger United
Page 1 of 6

Venda

(Away)
18 Sept
Real Native
2 : 0
Venda
12 Sept
Venda
2 : 3
Upington City
05 Sept
Venda
0 : 2
Pretoria U.
29 Aug
Gomora United
1 : 0
Venda
21 Aug
Venda
1 : 1
Lerumo Lions
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Mamelodi Sundowns -
TBD -
TBD -
Sibanye -
Mpheni -
TBD -
Pretoria U. 0
Hungry Lions 1
Royal AM -
TBD -
Upington City 0
Milford 2
Sekhukhune -
TBD -
TBD -
Cape Town City -
Stellenbosch FC -
TBD -
Orbit College 0
Kruger United 1
Polokwane City -
TBD -
TBD -
The Bees -
Kaizer Chiefs -
TBD -
TBD -
Free Agents -
Golden Arrows -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippa Utd. -
Magesi -
TBD -
TBD -
Supersport Utd -
JDR Stars 1
Venda 4
Black Leopards 0
Cape Town Spurs 1
Richards Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando Pirates -
Umvoti -
TBD -
Real Native 0
Baroka 2
Lerumo Lions -
TBD -
Durban City 1
Highbury 0
TS Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco Da Gama -
Leruma United 0
Pretoria Callies 1
TBD -
Marumo Gallants -
AmaZulu -
TBD -
TBD -
Mighty Eagles -
1/16-finals
Mamelodi Sundowns 5
Sibanye 2
Mpheni 3
Hungry Lions 1
Royal AM -
Milford -
Sekhukhune 2
Cape Town City 0
Stellenbosch FC 2
Kruger United 1
Polokwane City 1
The Bees 0
Kaizer Chiefs 4
Free Agents 0
Golden Arrows 1
Chippa Utd. 2
Magesi 0
Supersport Utd 2
Venda 1
Cape Town Spurs 3
Richards Bay 1
Orlando Pirates 3
Umvoti 0
Baroka 3
Lerumo Lions 0
Durban City 2
TS Galaxy 7
Vasco Da Gama 0
Pretoria Callies 0
Marumo Gallants 1
AmaZulu 5
Mighty Eagles 1
1/8-finals
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
Mpheni 0
Milford 1
Sekhukhune 2
Stellenbosch FC 2
Polokwane City 0
Kaizer Chiefs 3
Chippa Utd. 0
Supersport Utd 2
Cape Town Spurs 1
Orlando Pirates 3
Baroka 1
Durban City 2
TS Galaxy 1
Marumo Gallants 1
AmaZulu 0
Quarter-finals
Mamelodi Sundowns 1
Sekhukhune 0
Stellenbosch FC 1
Kaizer Chiefs 3
Supersport Utd 2
Orlando Pirates 3
Durban City 0
Marumo Gallants 1
Semi-finals
Mamelodi Sundowns 1
Kaizer Chiefs 2
Orlando Pirates 1
Marumo Gallants 0
Final
Kaizer Chiefs 2
Orlando Pirates 1