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Jedinstvo vs Arsenal Tivat

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 Gradski stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Nikolic M.
5' Event
Raznatovic P.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Djukic A. In: Musovic A.
Out: Djukic A.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 game between Jedinstvo and Arsenal Tivat finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal Tivat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jedinstvo
6%
Draws
4%
Arsenal Tivat
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jedinstvo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arsenal Tivat come out ahead of Jedinstvo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jedinstvo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Jedinstvo Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jedinstvo Arsenal Tivat
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jedinstvo vs Arsenal Tivat
0:2
Dec 10, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Jedinstvo
0:0
Oct 1, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jedinstvo vs Arsenal Tivat
0:0
Aug 4, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Jedinstvo
2:0
Apr 6, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jedinstvo vs Arsenal Tivat
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jedinstvo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Arsenal Tivat Compare

Top Goalscorer Imamovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jedinstvo 95 / 100
Arsenal Tivat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jedinstvo Arsenal Tivat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JED Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tivat let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Jedinstvo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Arsenal Tivat registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Jedinstvo found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Jedinstvo VS Arsenal Tivat
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sutjeska36226861:3672
2Mornar Bar36209751:2969
3Petrovac3613121144:3651
4Decic361491343:4551
5Buducnost361391436:3548
6Mladost DG361441849:5446
7Arsenal Tivat3612101436:4646
8Jezero3610111538:4841
9Bokelj368121638:4836
10Jedinstvo36981930:4935