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JEF United W vs Nojima Stella W Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

WE League Women 2025/2026 Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
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Match Events

7' Event
Yamaguchi C.
Assist: Ogawa Y.
10' Event
Nagashima H.
24' Event
Ogawa Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this WE League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
JEF United W
15%
Draws
32%
Nojima Stella W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JEF United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Nojima Stella W average 1.45 goals a game right now, well clear of JEF United W's 1.
  • Win probability leans JEF United W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
JEF United W Clean Sheet 16%
Nojima Stella W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JEF United W Nojima Stella W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 WE League Women
JEF United W vs Nojima Stella W
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs JEF United W
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 WE League Women
Nojima Stella W vs JEF United W
4:1
Sep 29, 2024 WE League Women
JEF United W vs Nojima Stella W
2:1
May 2, 2024 WE League Women
JEF United W vs Nojima Stella W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JEF United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamaguchi C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ogawa Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Nojima Stella W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagashima H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sasai C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JEF United W 66 / 100
Nojima Stella W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JEF United W Nojima Stella W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEF United W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: JEF United W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

JEF United W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Nojima Stella W conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

JEF United W VS Nojima Stella W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

JEF United W

(Home)
27 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
JEF United W
23 Sept
JEF United W
3 : 2
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
19 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0 : 1
JEF United W
12 Sept
JEF United W
3 : 2
Urawa W
05 Sept
JEF United W
2 : 0
Mynavi Sendai W
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Nojima Stella W

(Away)
27 Sept
AC Parceiro Nagano W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
1 : 2
Nojima Stella W
12 Sept
Nojima Stella W
2 : 0
Mynavi Sendai W
06 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 4
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 22 17 2 3 50:13 53
2 Urawa W 22 14 2 6 46:15 44
3 Beleza W 22 13 2 7 44:23 41
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 22 10 8 4 30:20 38
5 Mynavi Sendai W 22 9 7 6 22:19 34
6 Albirex Niigata W 22 9 4 9 23:27 31
7 Omiya Ardija W 22 6 9 7 24:28 27
8 Nojima Stella W 22 8 3 11 28:34 27
9 JEF United W 22 6 6 10 16:34 24
10 C-Osaka W 22 5 6 11 20:34 21
11 Saitama W 22 5 3 14 20:37 18
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 22 2 4 16 16:55 10
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