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Jeju SK vs Gangwon Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Tuci M.
21' Event
Kim Shin-Jin
Assist: Lee Chang-Min
28' Event
Goh Young-Jun
Assist: Kim Dae-Won

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Jeju SK
35%
Draws
17%
Gangwon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeju SK have won more games recently than Gangwon.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Jeju SK taking it.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 68%
Gangwon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeju SK Gangwon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.34 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 K League 1
Gangwon vs Jeju SK
0:1
Jul 21, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gangwon
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 K League 1
Gangwon vs Jeju SK
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gangwon
0:0
May 6, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gangwon
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Shin-Jin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Gangwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Goh Young-Jun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 77 / 100
Gangwon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeju SK Gangwon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeju SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jeju SK scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Jeju SK went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Gangwon conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jeju SK VS Gangwon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeju SK

(Home)
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
12 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2
Jeju SK
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
30 Aug
Jeju SK
3 : 1
Daejeon
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Gangwon

(Away)
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Gangwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)