Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jeju SK vs Gangwon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Tuci M.
21' Event
Kim Shin-Jin
Assist: Lee Chang-Min
28' Event
Goh Young-Jun
Assist: Kim Dae-Won

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Jeju SK
20%
Draws
38%
Gangwon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Gangwon average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Jeju SK's 1.13.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Jeju SK taking it.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 20%
Gangwon Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeju SK Gangwon
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 14
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gangwon
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 K League 1
Gangwon vs Jeju SK
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gangwon
0:0
May 6, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gangwon
0:3
Mar 2, 2025 K League 1
Gangwon vs Jeju SK
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Shin-Jin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gangwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Goh Young-Jun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 42 / 100
Gangwon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeju SK Gangwon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jeju SK scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Jeju SK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gangwon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jeju SK VS Gangwon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeju SK

(Home)
21 Jul
Jeju SK
1 : 1
Gangwon
18 Jul
Jeju SK
2 : 1
Pohang
12 Jul
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Daejeon
05 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Jeju SK
17 May
Jeju SK
1 : 2
Anyang
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Gangwon

(Away)
21 Jul
Jeju SK
1 : 1
Gangwon
18 Jul
Gangwon
2 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Jul
Vietnam
2 : 1
Gangwon
12 Jul
Seoul
0 : 0
Gangwon
04 Jul
Jeonbuk
1 : 2
Gangwon
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul20133435:1742
2Jeonbuk2096527:1633
3Gangwon2088425:1432
4Ulsan Hyundai2094730:2931
5Anyang2079428:2330
6Incheon2084825:2128
7Pohang2084820:2128
8Jeju SK2076719:2027
9Daejeon2048823:2320
10Gimcheon Sangmu20311621:2820
11Bucheon FC 19952048818:2520
12Gwangju FC20171211:4510
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)