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Jeju SK vs Gimcheon Sangmu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Park Cheol-Woo
45'
Emerson Negueba
54'
Sub
Shin Sang-Eun In: Park Chang-Jun
Out: Shin Sang-Eun

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Jeju SK and Gimcheon Sangmu finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Jeju SK
35%
Draws
23%
Gimcheon Sangmu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Jeju SK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jeju SK's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 68%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeju SK Gimcheon Sangmu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 15
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0:0
Jul 5, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju SK
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju SK
3:1
May 17, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju SK
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 68 / 100
Gimcheon Sangmu 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeju SK Gimcheon Sangmu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeju SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeju SK scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Jeju SK went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gimcheon Sangmu let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Jeju SK VS Gimcheon Sangmu
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeju SK

(Home)
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
12 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2
Jeju SK
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
30 Aug
Jeju SK
3 : 1
Daejeon
Page 1 of 6

Gimcheon Sangmu

(Away)
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 31 20 5 6 58:26 65
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Gangwon 31 11 13 7 38:28 46
4 Jeju SK 31 12 10 9 36:31 46
5 Jeonbuk 31 11 11 9 39:30 44
6 Daejeon 31 11 10 10 48:38 43
7 Incheon 31 11 9 11 39:33 42
8 Anyang 31 10 11 10 39:47 41
9 Pohang 31 11 7 13 28:37 40
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 31 5 18 8 30:37 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 31 7 11 13 31:42 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)