Sport Picks

South Korea

K League 1 Jeju World Cup Stadium

Jeju SK

1 - 1

Gimcheon Sangmu

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Park T.

44'

Kim Hyun-Woo

46'

Sub

Italo In: Nam Tae-Hee

Out: Italo

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Jeju SK

28%

Draws

22%

Gimcheon Sangmu

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Jeju SK have won more games recently than Gimcheon Sangmu.
Jeju SK are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%

Jeju SK Clean Sheet 68%

Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jeju SK	Gimcheon Sangmu
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	7
Draws	7	10
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 K League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju SK

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Apr 18, 2026 K League 1

Jeju SK vs Gimcheon Sangmu

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Jul 26, 2025 K League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju SK

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

3:1

May 17, 2025 K League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju SK

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Feb 22, 2025 K League 1

Jeju SK vs Gimcheon Sangmu

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 4 - 3

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Oh Jae-Hyeok

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Top Goalscorer Park T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 59 / 100

Gimcheon Sangmu 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jeju SK Gimcheon Sangmu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEJ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimcheon Sangmu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Jeju SK's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jeju SK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jeju SK VS Gimcheon Sangmu

1 Goals Scored 1.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Seoul	18	12	3	3	31:13	39
2	Gangwon	18	8	7	3	23:11	31
3	Jeonbuk	18	8	5	5	25:16	29
4	Ulsan Hyundai	18	8	4	6	26:26	28
5	Pohang	18	8	4	6	19:16	28
6	Anyang	18	5	9	4	23:20	24
7	Incheon	18	7	3	8	22:19	24
8	Jeju SK	18	6	5	7	16:18	23
9	Daejeon	18	4	7	7	21:20	19
10	Bucheon FC 1995	18	4	7	7	15:21	19
11	Gimcheon Sangmu	18	2	10	6	17:25	16
12	Gwangju FC	18	1	6	11	9:42	9