Sport Picks

Jeju SK vs Hwaseong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea

Korean Cup Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo

Jeju SK

Wed, Jul 29, 2026

4 - 3

10:30 AM

Hwaseong

Our Tip

Match Events

Jang Min-jun

23'

Areias Nascimento D. M.

50'

Emerson Negueba

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. The second leg ended 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Jeju SK

35%

Draws

32%

Hwaseong

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Hwaseong come out ahead of Jeju SK on wins alone.
36% — that's where the model lands on Jeju SK taking it.
Hwaseong arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Jeju SK, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Jeju SK Clean Sheet 20%

Hwaseong Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jeju SK	Hwaseong
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	14
Draws	8	8
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	1.34	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Korean Cup

Jeju SK vs Hwaseong

4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Emerson Negueba

1 Goals

Assists Leader Park Chang-Jun

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Hwaseong Compare

Top Goalscorer Jang Min-jun

1 Goals

Assists Leader Areias Nascimento D. M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.74

Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 36 / 100

Hwaseong 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jeju SK Hwaseong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jeju SK scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Hwaseong conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Jeju SK has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jeju SK VS Hwaseong

1.38 Goals Scored 0.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeju SK

(Home)

10 Oct

Seoul

2 : 1

Jeju SK

20 Sept

Gangwon

0 : 1

Jeju SK

12 Sept

Bucheon FC 1995

2 : 2

Jeju SK

09 Sept

Gwangju FC

0 : 1

Jeju SK

05 Sept

Jeju SK

0 : 0

Ulsan Hyundai

Page 1 of 6

Hwaseong

(Away)

09 Oct

Suwon FC

1 : 0

Hwaseong

20 Sept

Seongnam

2 : 2

Hwaseong

12 Sept

Ansan Greeners

0 : 2

Hwaseong

05 Sept

Cheonan City

1 : 1

Hwaseong

29 Aug

Hwaseong

2 : 1

Cheongju

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jeonnam -

TBD -

Chungnam Asan -

Daegu -

TBD -

Jincheon -

TBD -

Siheung Citizen -

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen -

TBD -

Chuncheon -

TBD -

Seoul E-Land -

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City -

TBD -

Yangsan United 1

Anseong Citizen 2

TBD -

Mokpo -

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong -

TBD -

Gijang United -

TBD -

Suwon Bluewings -

Ansan Greeners -

TBD -

Jinju Citizen -

TBD -

Sejong SA -

Seosan Pioneer -

TBD -

Gyeongju KHNP -

TBD -

Cheongju -

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong -

TBD -

Yeonsu Songdo 0

Ulsan FC 4

TBD -

Yangpyeong -

Pyeongtaek Citizen -

TBD -

Yeoju Citizen -

TBD -

Gyeongnam -

Yongin FC -

TBD -

Haman -

TBD -

Dangjin Citizen -

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju -

TBD -

Seoul Jungnang -

TBD -

Gimpo FC -

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC -

TBD -

Cheongju Showking 3

Yangcheon TNT 9

TBD -

Pyeongchang United -

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon -

TBD -

Geumsan Insam -

TBD -

Gimhae -

Seongnam -

TBD -

Daejeon Korail -

TBD -

Pocheon -

Busan -

TBD -

Incheon Seogot 2

Areum 1

TBD -

Geoje -

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier -

TBD -

Jecheon Citizen -

TBD -

Gangneung -

1/64-finals

Jeonnam -

TBD -

Chungnam Asan -

Daegu -

TBD -

Jincheon 1

Siheung Citizen 2

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 2

Chuncheon 1

TBD -

Seoul E-Land -

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City -

TBD -

Anseong Citizen 2

Mokpo 3

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 2

Gijang United 1

TBD -

Suwon Bluewings -

Ansan Greeners -

TBD -

Jinju Citizen 2

Sejong SA 1

Seosan Pioneer 0

Gyeongju KHNP 3

TBD -

Cheongju -

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong -

TBD -

Ulsan FC 1

Yangpyeong 5

Pyeongtaek Citizen 1

Yeoju Citizen 3

TBD -

Gyeongnam -

Yongin FC -

TBD -

Haman 0

Dangjin Citizen 2

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju 3

Seoul Jungnang 1

TBD -

Gimpo FC -

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC -

TBD -

Yangcheon TNT 1

Pyeongchang United 2

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon 3

Geumsan Insam 0

TBD -

Gimhae -

Seongnam -

TBD -

Daejeon Korail 0

Pocheon 2

Busan -

TBD -

Incheon Seogot 0

Geoje 4

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier -

TBD -

Jecheon Citizen 0

Gangneung 2

1/32-finals

Jeonnam 3

Chungnam Asan 4

Daegu 0

Siheung Citizen 1

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 4

Seoul E-Land 2

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City 2

Mokpo 1

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 2

Suwon Bluewings 1

Ansan Greeners 0

Jinju Citizen 2

Gyeongju KHNP 0

Cheongju 4

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong 4

Yangpyeong 3

Yeoju Citizen 1

Gyeongnam 0

Yongin FC 0

Dangjin Citizen 2

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju 1

Gimpo FC 2

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC 3

Pyeongchang United 2

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon 1

Gimhae 5

Seongnam 2

Pocheon 1

Busan 4

Geoje 0

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier 3

Gangneung 2

1/16-finals

Chungnam Asan 2

Siheung Citizen 1

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 1

Ulsan Hyundai 0

Gwangju FC 1

Cheonan City 0

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 1

Jinju Citizen 2

Cheongju 1

Anyang 3

Jeju SK 4

Hwaseong 3

Yeoju Citizen 0

Dangjin Citizen 1

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Gimpo FC 1

Incheon 0

Gimcheon Sangmu 2

Suwon FC 1

Gangwon -

TBD -

Gimhae 0

Seongnam 1

Busan 2

Seoul 0

Bucheon FC 1995 3

Paju Frontier 0

1/8-finals

Chungnam Asan 2

Daejeon 3

Ulsan Citizen 0

Gwangju FC 1

Pohang 3

Jinju Citizen 1

Anyang 2

Jeju SK 1

Dangjin Citizen 3

Jeonbuk 2

Gimpo FC 2

Gimcheon Sangmu 1

Gangwon 1

Seongnam 0

Busan 0

Bucheon FC 1995 1

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Jeju SK vs Hwaseong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea

Jeju SK

Hwaseong

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Jeju SK Compare

Hwaseong Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Jeju SK

Hwaseong

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA