Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jeju SK vs Incheon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kim Shin-Jin
Assist: Emerson Negueba
34' Event
Kim Gun-Hee
Assist: Lee Ju-Yong
37' Event
Kim Gun-Hee
Assist: Lee Ju-Yong

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Jeju SK and Incheon finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Jeju SK
35%
Draws
20%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeju SK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jeju SK a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 68%
Incheon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeju SK Incheon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Incheon
3:3
Apr 25, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Jeju SK
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Jeju SK
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Incheon
0:1
Jun 26, 2024 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Incheon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Shin-Jin
1 Goals
Assists Leader Figueiredo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Incheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Gun-Hee
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lee Ju-Yong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 68 / 100
Incheon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeju SK Incheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeju SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeju SK's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Jeju SK has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Incheon conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jeju SK VS Incheon
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeju SK

(Home)
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
12 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2
Jeju SK
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
30 Aug
Jeju SK
3 : 1
Daejeon
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Incheon

(Away)
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Sept
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)