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Stadium Background

Jeju SK vs Pohang

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Won Ki-Jong
Assist: Hwang Seo-Woong
44'
Cho Sang-Hyeok
46'
Sub
Figueiredo T. In: Lee Chang-Min
Out: Figueiredo T.

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Jeju SK and Pohang finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pohang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Jeju SK
35%
Draws
20%
Pohang
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeju SK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Jeju SK taking it.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 68%
Pohang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeju SK Pohang
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Pohang
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Pohang
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeju SK
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeju SK
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeju SK
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Celestine J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pohang Compare

Top Goalscorer Won Ki-Jong
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nishiya K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 86 / 100
Pohang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeju SK Pohang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeju SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jeju SK scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Jeju SK went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Pohang conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Jeju SK VS Pohang
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeju SK

(Home)
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
12 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2
Jeju SK
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
30 Aug
Jeju SK
3 : 1
Daejeon
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Pohang

(Away)
20 Sept
Pohang
2 : 1
Seoul
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
12 Sept
Daejeon
2 : 2
Pohang
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
05 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 0
Pohang
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)