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Jeju SK vs Pohang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Jang M.
37'
Oh Jae-Hyeok
38' Event
Tranziska J.

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Jeju SK and Pohang finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jeju SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Jeju SK
35%
Draws
20%
Pohang
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jeju SK come out ahead of Pohang on wins alone.
  • Jeju SK are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 68%
Pohang Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeju SK Pohang
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Pohang
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Pohang
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeju SK
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeju SK
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeju SK
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Shin-Jin
1 Goals
Assists Leader Italo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Pohang Compare

Top Goalscorer Tranziska J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeju SK 95 / 100
Pohang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeju SK Pohang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeju SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeju SK found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Jeju SK stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Pohang let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Jeju SK VS Pohang
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeju SK

(Home)
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
12 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2
Jeju SK
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
30 Aug
Jeju SK
3 : 1
Daejeon
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Pohang

(Away)
09 Oct
Incheon
3 : 0
Pohang
20 Sept
Pohang
2 : 1
Seoul
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
12 Sept
Daejeon
2 : 2
Pohang
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Gangwon 31 11 13 7 38:28 46
4 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
5 Jeonbuk 31 11 11 9 39:30 44
6 Daejeon 31 11 10 10 48:38 43
7 Incheon 31 11 9 11 39:33 42
8 Pohang 31 11 7 13 28:37 40
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 31 7 11 13 31:42 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)