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Jelgava 2 vs Valmiera Prediction & H2H Stats

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1. Liga 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2012 game between Jelgava 2 and Valmiera finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jelgava 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Jelgava 2
15%
Draws
65%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Valmiera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Valmiera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valmiera have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Jelgava 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jelgava 2 Valmiera
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 22
Draws 3 3
Losses 24 6
Goals Scored 1.17 2.68
Goals Conceded 3.43 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2013 1. Liga
Jelgava 2 vs Valmiera
0:1
May 25, 2013 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Jelgava 2
4:0
Sep 29, 2012 1. Liga
Jelgava 2 vs Valmiera
2:1
Jun 9, 2012 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Jelgava 2
4:1
Aug 14, 2011 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Jelgava 2
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jelgava 2 10 / 100
Valmiera 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jelgava 2 Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jelgava 2 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Valmiera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Jelgava 2 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valmiera
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jelgava 2

(Home)
10 Nov
Gulbene
4 : 0
Jelgava 2
03 Nov
Jelgava 2
1 : 3
Tukums 2000
27 Oct
Jelgava 2
1 : 2
Rezekne
20 Oct
SFK United
4 : 0
Jelgava 2
12 Oct
Jelgava 2
3 : 0
FK Auda Riga
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Valmiera

(Away)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 25 21 4 0 92:20 67
2 FK Ilukste 26 18 3 5 87:38 57
3 Skonto 2 26 17 5 4 56:32 56
4 BFC Daugavpils 26 15 7 4 49:20 52
5 RFS 26 16 3 7 62:33 51
6 Ventspils 2 26 15 3 8 57:37 48
7 FK 1625 Liepaja 26 11 7 8 47:45 40
8 Valmiera 26 8 3 15 39:53 27
9 Spartaks Jurmala 2 26 7 5 14 48:71 26
10 Rezekne 25 8 1 16 49:57 25
11 FK Metta 2 26 7 3 16 33:52 24
12 FK Auda Riga 26 6 3 17 36:51 21
13 Tukums 2000 26 4 1 21 28:116 13
14 Jelgava 2 26 3 2 21 29:87 11
Promotion - Virslīga 2013 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2012 (Relegation)