Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jena II vs FSV Martinroda

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2021/2022
Sat, Jun 18, 2022
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jena II host FSV Martinroda in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2021/2022. Little to choose between these two on current form. FSV Martinroda have shipped 2.36 goals a game lately, while Jena II have conceded 1.69 and scored 1.96. Past meetings favor Jena II slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 18, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 1.19) point toward Jena II. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jena II
30%
Draws
47%
FSV Martinroda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FSV Martinroda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jena II come out ahead of FSV Martinroda on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Jena II Clean Sheet 20%
FSV Martinroda Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena II FSV Martinroda
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.96 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs FSV Martinroda
0:0
Feb 22, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FSV Martinroda vs Jena II
0:2
Apr 4, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs FSV Martinroda
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FSV Martinroda vs Jena II
1:1
Feb 21, 2020 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
FSV Martinroda vs Jena II
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena II 36 / 100
FSV Martinroda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena II FSV Martinroda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FSV Martinroda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FSV Martinroda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 25 matches.

Jena II's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jena II stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jena II VS FSV Martinroda
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena II

(Home)
18 Jun
Jena II
2 : 6
Krieschow
11 Jun
Jena II
4 : 2
Bautzen
04 Jun
Jena II
0 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
28 May
Inter Leipzig
4 : 0
Jena II
21 May
Grimma
3 : 0
Jena II
Page 1 of 6

FSV Martinroda

(Away)
18 Jun
FSV Martinroda
4 : 4
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
10 Jun
An der Fahner Hohe
1 : 1
FSV Martinroda
29 May
Halle
6 : 1
FSV Martinroda
21 May
FSV Martinroda
0 : 0
Wacker Nordhausen
14 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 3
FSV Martinroda
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 29 25 3 1 103:16 78
2 Krieschow 29 17 7 5 72:34 58
3 Plauen 29 17 7 5 61:25 58
4 Bautzen 30 16 3 11 74:59 51
5 Sandersdorf 30 13 7 10 48:33 46
6 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 29 12 4 13 43:47 40
7 Einheit Wernigerode 29 11 7 11 49:54 40
8 Halle 30 10 11 9 52:46 41
9 Einheit Rudolstadt 31 10 11 10 42:51 41
10 Bischofswerdaer 30 9 11 10 45:48 38
11 An der Fahner Hohe 30 11 4 15 32:44 37
12 Blau-Weiss Zorbau 30 8 11 11 41:62 35
13 Grimma 29 9 7 13 45:48 34
14 Wacker Nordhausen 30 6 11 13 33:55 29
15 Inter Leipzig 29 8 4 17 43:76 28
16 Arnstadt 29 4 9 16 31:73 21
17 FSV Martinroda 30 4 7 19 34:73 19
18 Jena II 29 11 6 12 0:0 0
19 FC Merseburg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2022/2023 (Main)