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Jena vs BFC Dynamo

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Burmeister T.
50' Event
Eshele M.
64' Event
Fritzsche L.

AI Match Summary

Jena in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jena
6%
Draws
4%
BFC Dynamo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • BFC Dynamo haven't matched Jena's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Jena taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Jena Clean Sheet 20%
BFC Dynamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena BFC Dynamo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 4.13 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 4.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs BFC Dynamo
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Jena
2:3
Dec 6, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs BFC Dynamo
1:1
Jul 26, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Dynamo vs Jena
2:3
Feb 17, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs BFC Dynamo
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Burmeister T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eshele M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 2.06

BFC Dynamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fritzsche L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena 85 / 100
BFC Dynamo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena BFC Dynamo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jena scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Jena went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

BFC Dynamo let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jena VS BFC Dynamo
4.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotive Leipzig34233865:3072
2Jena34226665:3572
3Zwickau34197852:4464
4Hallescher34196963:3663
5Erfurt341710768:4761
6Altglienicke341411950:4053
7Chemnitzer341491156:5251
8BFC Preussen341481250:5550
9Magdeburg II341541561:5549
10Luckenwalde3411101336:4543
11Babelsberg341181567:6541
12BFC Dynamo3410101445:5040
13Chemie Leipzig341241843:4940
14Hertha Berlin II341171646:6040
15Greifswalder FC349111440:4538
16Meuselwitz34891744:6133
17Eilenburg344111935:6823
18Hertha Zehlendorf34282430:7914