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Jena vs Greifswalder FC

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Benyamina S.
65' Event
Reddemann S.
90' Event
Burmeister T.

AI Match Summary

Jena in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jena
6%
Draws
4%
Greifswalder FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jena lately — more wins on the board than Greifswalder FC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Jena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jena Clean Sheet 10%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena Greifswalder FC
Matches Played 35 26
Wins 22 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 4.13 3.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 4.13 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Greifswalder FC
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Jena
3:3
Jan 31, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Greifswalder FC
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Jena
1:3
Jan 28, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs Jena
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Reddemann S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burmeister T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 2.06

Greifswalder FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Benyamina S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena 83 / 100
Greifswalder FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena Greifswalder FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jena scored in 91% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jena remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Greifswalder FC let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jena VS Greifswalder FC
4.13 Goals Scored 3.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotive Leipzig34233865:3072
2Jena34226665:3572
3Zwickau34197852:4464
4Hallescher34196963:3663
5Erfurt341710768:4761
6Altglienicke341411950:4053
7Chemnitzer341491156:5251
8BFC Preussen341481250:5550
9Magdeburg II341541561:5549
10Luckenwalde3411101336:4543
11Babelsberg341181567:6541
12BFC Dynamo3410101445:5040
13Chemie Leipzig341241843:4940
14Hertha Berlin II341171646:6040
15Greifswalder FC349111440:4538
16Meuselwitz34891744:6133
17Eilenburg344111935:6823
18Hertha Zehlendorf34282430:7914