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Jena vs RB Leipzig II Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 Ernst Abbe Sportfeld, Jena
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Strauss J.
90'
Wagner F.
90'
Wagner F.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 game between Jena and RB Leipzig II finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Jena
15%
Draws
37%
RB Leipzig II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Jena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jena a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jena Clean Sheet 20%
RB Leipzig II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena RB Leipzig II
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 19 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.21 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2017 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs RB Leipzig II
1:1
Nov 20, 2016 Regionalliga Nordost
RB Leipzig II vs Jena
3:0
Apr 23, 2016 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs RB Leipzig II
1:3
Nov 1, 2015 Regionalliga Nordost
RB Leipzig II vs Jena
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Buval B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.3

RB Leipzig II Compare

Top Goalscorer Strauss J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena 85 / 100
RB Leipzig II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena RB Leipzig II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jena scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

RB Leipzig II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Jena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jena VS -
4 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena

(Home)
25 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 5
Jena
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
15 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
Jena
12 Sept
Jena
3 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
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RB Leipzig II

(Away)
03 Feb
Southampton U21
0 : 3
RB Leipzig II
20 Jan
Everton U21
5 : 1
RB Leipzig II
14 Jan
Manchester City U21
3 : 1
RB Leipzig II
29 Sept
Wolves U21
1 : 1
RB Leipzig II
17 Jan
Crystal Palace U21
1 : 2
RB Leipzig II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jena 34 23 6 5 68:25 75
2 Energie Cottbus 34 19 9 6 58:26 66
3 RB Leipzig II 34 17 9 8 67:42 60
4 Viktoria Berlin 34 15 11 8 63:47 56
5 Babelsberg 34 16 7 11 55:42 55
6 Berliner AK 07 34 16 7 11 54:42 55
7 Wacker Nordhausen 34 14 9 11 47:47 51
8 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 34 13 9 12 41:33 48
9 Hertha Berlin II 34 12 12 10 46:48 48
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 13 8 13 53:49 47
11 Schonberg 34 13 8 13 53:60 47
12 Auerbach 34 11 12 11 47:50 45
13 Furstenwalde 34 12 9 13 49:59 45
14 Meuselwitz 34 11 11 12 37:36 44
15 BFC Dynamo 34 12 8 14 51:54 44
16 Luckenwalde 34 5 9 20 35:75 24
17 Bautzen 34 3 9 22 29:68 18
18 TSG Neustrelitz 34 2 5 27 30:80 11
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2016/2017 (Play Offs)