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Jena vs Zwickau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Munser E.
40' Event
Sezer C.
82' Event
Harant P.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Jena and Zwickau finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zwickau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jena
20%
Draws
29%
Zwickau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Jena Clean Sheet 20%
Zwickau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena Zwickau
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.46 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Zwickau
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Zwickau
5:1
Aug 22, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Jena
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Zwickau
1:2
Oct 27, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Jena
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Munser E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Zwickau Compare

Top Goalscorer Sezer C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harant P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena 85 / 100
Zwickau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena Zwickau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jena scored in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Zwickau let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Jena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jena VS Zwickau
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena

(Home)
25 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 5
Jena
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
15 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
Jena
12 Sept
Jena
3 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
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Zwickau

(Away)
27 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 1
Zwickau
18 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 3
Hallescher
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2
Altglienicke
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2
Zwickau
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0
Babelsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
14 Chemie Leipzig 11 2 3 6 12:17 9
15 Hertha Berlin II 11 2 3 6 9:21 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 11 1 0 10 9:28 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)