Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jena vs Zwickau

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Munser E.
40' Event
Sezer C.
82' Event
Harant P.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Jena and Zwickau finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zwickau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jena
20%
Draws
29%
Zwickau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Jena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Zwickau are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jena Clean Sheet 10%
Zwickau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jena Zwickau
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 21 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 3.85 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Zwickau
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Zwickau
5:1
Aug 22, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Jena
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Zwickau
1:2
Oct 27, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Zwickau vs Jena
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Munser E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Zwickau Compare

Top Goalscorer Sezer C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harant P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jena 22 / 100
Zwickau 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jena Zwickau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zwickau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jena scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Zwickau let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Jena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jena VS Zwickau
3.88 Goals Scored 5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jena

(Home)
09 Aug
Jena
1 : 2
Erfurt
04 Aug
Jena
4 : 0
Rsv Eintracht
31 Jul
Babelsberg
0 : 1
Jena
26 Jul
Jena
1 : 2
Zwickau
17 Jul
Bayreuth
1 : 1
Jena
Page 1 of 7

Zwickau

(Away)
09 Aug
BFC Dynamo
0 : 0
Zwickau
04 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Zwickau
01 Aug
Zwickau
0 : 3
Greifswalder FC
26 Jul
Jena
1 : 2
Zwickau
17 Jul
Sparta Prague B
3 : 2
Zwickau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2 Chemnitzer 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
3 Aue 4 3 1 0 10:6 10
4 Altglienicke 4 2 2 0 11:7 8
5 Magdeburg II 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
6 Greifswalder FC 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
7 Lokomotive Leipzig 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
8 Jena 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
9 Hallescher 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
10 Rsv Eintracht 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
11 Babelsberg 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
12 BFC Dynamo 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
13 Zwickau 4 1 1 2 3:7 4
14 Luckenwalde 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
15 Hertha Berlin II 4 1 0 3 4:12 3
16 SV Tasmania Berlin 4 1 0 3 4:15 3
17 BFC Preussen 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 Chemie Leipzig 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)