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Jeonbuk vs Gimcheon Sangmu

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 2025 Jeonju World Cup Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jeonbuk play Gimcheon Sangmu in the K League 1 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jeonbuk averaged 1.37 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Gimcheon Sangmu averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Jeonbuk won 2, Gimcheon Sangmu won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Jeonbuk and 1.00 for Gimcheon Sangmu. This points to a Jeonbuk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Jeonbuk
29%
Draws
30%
Gimcheon Sangmu
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Jeonbuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeonbuk picked up more points recently compared to Gimcheon Sangmu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Jeonbuk Clean Sheet 23%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeonbuk Gimcheon Sangmu
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeonbuk
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:2
Jun 27, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeonbuk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeonbuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Seung-Woo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jeon Jin-Woo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Dong-Gyeong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeonbuk 42 / 100
Gimcheon Sangmu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeonbuk Gimcheon Sangmu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jeonbuk or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jeonbuk attacking → ← attacking Gimcheon Sangmu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeonbuk scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Gimcheon Sangmu let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Jeonbuk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gimcheon Sangmu lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 36
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jeonbuk382310564:3279
2Daejeon381811958:4665
3Gimcheon Sangmu381871359:4561
4Pohang381681441:4656
5Gangwon3813131237:4152
6Seoul3812131350:5249