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Jeonbuk vs Gwangju FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Shin Chang-Moo
35' Event
Tiago Orobo
Assist: Kim Young-Bin
44' Event
Kim Tae-Hyeon
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Jeonbuk
35%
Draws
35%
Gwangju FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Gwangju FC haven't matched Jeonbuk's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Jeonbuk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Jeonbuk Clean Sheet 20%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeonbuk Gwangju FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 3
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.32 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.04 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Gwangju FC
2:2
May 5, 2026 K League 1
Jeonbuk vs Gwangju FC
4:0
Mar 14, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeonbuk
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Korean Cup
Gwangju FC vs Jeonbuk
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeonbuk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeonbuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago Orobo
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gwangju FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Iredale J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeonbuk 36 / 100
Gwangju FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeonbuk Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwangju FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Jeonbuk found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Jeonbuk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jeonbuk VS Gwangju FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeonbuk

(Home)
09 Oct
Daejeon
2 : 1
Jeonbuk
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
12 Sept
Jeonbuk
1 : 2
Seoul
09 Sept
Gangwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk
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Gwangju FC

(Away)
11 Oct
Gwangju FC
4 : 3
Ulsan Hyundai
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Anyang
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 31 20 5 6 58:26 65
2 Ulsan Hyundai 31 14 5 12 48:44 47
3 Gangwon 31 11 13 7 38:28 46
4 Jeju SK 31 12 10 9 36:31 46
5 Jeonbuk 31 11 11 9 39:30 44
6 Daejeon 31 11 10 10 48:38 43
7 Incheon 31 11 9 11 39:33 42
8 Anyang 31 10 11 10 39:47 41
9 Pohang 31 11 7 13 28:37 40
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 31 5 18 8 30:37 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 31 7 11 13 31:42 32
12 Gwangju FC 31 2 12 17 25:66 18
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)