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Jequie vs CE Flamengo

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jequie play CE Flamengo in the Baiano 2 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jequie averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. CE Flamengo averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Jequie won 1, CE Flamengo won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 16, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Jequie and 1.13 for CE Flamengo. This points to a Jequie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Jequie
31%
Draws
34%
CE Flamengo
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Jequie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Jequie picked up more points recently compared to CE Flamengo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Jequie Clean Sheet 21%
CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jequie CE Flamengo
Matches Played 42 32
Wins 14 11
Draws 13 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.14 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2022 Baiano 2
Jequie vs CE Flamengo
1:0
Jun 14, 2015 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Jequie
5:1
Mar 16, 2014 Baiano 2
Jequie vs CE Flamengo
1:3
Jun 1, 2013 Baiano 2
CE Flamengo vs Jequie
1:1
May 1, 2013 Baiano 2
Jequie vs CE Flamengo
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jequie 36 / 100
CE Flamengo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jequie CE Flamengo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jequie or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jequie attacking → ← attacking CE Flamengo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jequie scored in 69% of their last 42 games.

CE Flamengo let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Jequie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CE Flamengo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 41
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Galicia841310:913
2Catuense84139:813
3Camacari841310:1213
4EC Ypiranga832313:711
5Ipitanga82157:137
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itabuna850311:515
2CE Flamengo842213:914
3Colo Colo841311:813
4Jequie82339:139
5AD Astro81255:145