Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jequie vs Ipitanga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jequie play Ipitanga in the Baiano 2 2014. Jequie are favorites here. Recently, Jequie averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Ipitanga averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. In past meetings, Jequie won 1, Ipitanga won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2014 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Jequie and 1.13 for Ipitanga. This points to a Jequie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Jequie
19%
Draws
15%
Ipitanga
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Jequie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Jequie picked up more points recently compared to Ipitanga.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Jequie Clean Sheet 21%
Ipitanga Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jequie Ipitanga
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.26 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Baiano 2
Jequie vs Ipitanga
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jequie 64 / 100
Ipitanga 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jequie Ipitanga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jequie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jequie & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jequie attacking → ← attacking Ipitanga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jequie scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Ipitanga let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jequie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ipitanga lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 12
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo972019:123
2Jacobina962115:420
3CE Flamengo962122:1220
4Alagoinhas951318:1216
5Itabuna940513:1112
6Fluminense de Feira93338:1012
7EC Ypiranga932414:1211
8Jequie932412:1311
9Leonico90187:221
10Ipitanga90184:351