Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jequie vs Itabuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Jequie Logo

Jequie

1 - 3
FT
Itabuna Logo

Itabuna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Itabuna in this Baiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jequie
35%
Draws
32%
Itabuna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jequie lately — more wins on the board than Itabuna.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Jequie taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Jequie Clean Sheet 20%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jequie Itabuna
Matches Played 41 34
Wins 17 16
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2024 Baiano
Jequie vs Itabuna
2:1
Jul 24, 2022 Baiano 2
Jequie vs Itabuna
0:1
Jul 16, 2022 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Jequie
1:1
Jun 26, 2022 Baiano 2
Jequie vs Itabuna
1:3
Apr 19, 2015 Baiano 2
Jequie vs Itabuna
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jequie 40 / 100
Itabuna 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jequie Itabuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jequie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jequie scored in 78% of their last 41 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Jequie has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Itabuna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jequie VS Itabuna
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jequie

(Home)
22 Feb
Jequie
1 : 1
Barcelona FC
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Jequie
2 : 2
Vitoria
04 Feb
Jacuipense
0 : 2
Jequie
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
Page 1 of 9

Itabuna

(Away)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 11 7 1 3 14:10 22
2 Jacobinense 11 6 2 3 17:9 20
3 Juazeiro 11 5 5 1 18:8 20
4 Itabuna 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
5 Jacobina 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
6 Botafogo BA 11 4 4 3 11:12 16
7 Galicia 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
8 CE Flamengo 11 4 2 5 10:8 14
9 Fluminense de Feira 11 3 4 4 8:12 13
10 Canaa EC 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
11 Feirense 11 2 1 8 7:18 7
12 Grapiuna 11 1 3 7 6:22 6
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)