Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jerash vs Tuwaiq

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jerash in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jerash.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Jerash
15%
Draws
39%
Tuwaiq
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerash

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jerash lately — more wins on the board than Tuwaiq.
  • Win probability leans Jerash's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jerash Clean Sheet 10%
Tuwaiq Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerash Tuwaiq
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.73 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Division 2
Jerash vs Tuwaiq
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 Division 2
Tuwaiq vs Jerash
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerash 38 / 100
Tuwaiq 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerash Tuwaiq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerash Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerash's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tuwaiq has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jerash stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jerash VS Tuwaiq
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerash

(Home)
10 Apr
Jerash
3 : 3
Jubbah
04 Apr
Al-Sahel
2 : 1
Jerash
28 Mar
Jerash
2 : 1
Al-Sharq
14 Mar
Jerash
2 : 3
Al Jeel
07 Mar
Al-Sadd
1 : 2
Jerash
Page 1 of 6

Tuwaiq

(Away)
10 Apr
Al-Shoalah
4 : 1
Tuwaiq
04 Apr
Tuwaiq
4 : 1
Al Rawdhah
28 Mar
Al Ain
2 : 1
Tuwaiq
14 Mar
Tuwaiq
1 : 3
Al-Washm
07 Mar
Al Entesar
1 : 2
Tuwaiq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al-Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al-Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al-Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al-Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al-Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al-Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)