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Jerez CF vs CD Azuaga

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Jerez CF Logo

Jerez CF

2 - 3
FT
CD Azuaga Logo

CD Azuaga

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Parada J.
27' Event
Chavez C.
44' Event
Aguado E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between Jerez CF and CD Azuaga finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Jerez CF
20%
Draws
50%
CD Azuaga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Jerez CF haven't matched CD Azuaga's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CD Azuaga's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 10%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerez CF CD Azuaga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 14 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.8 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.57 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs CD Azuaga
2:3
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Jerez CF
3:3
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs CD Azuaga
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Jerez CF
4:1
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Jerez CF
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jerez CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bancalero Garrido J. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguado E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerez CF 22 / 100
CD Azuaga 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerez CF CD Azuaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jerez CF scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

CD Azuaga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Jerez CF has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jerez CF VS CD Azuaga
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerez CF

(Home)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1
Jerez CF
26 Apr
Villanovense
2 : 0
Jerez CF
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2
Don Benito
12 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
3 : 0
Jerez CF
Page 1 of 6

CD Azuaga

(Away)
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
10 May
Pueblonuevo
1 : 0
CD Azuaga
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
26 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)